TRADING IDEA FOR TODAY, FRIDAY, 24-05-2013

EURUSD

Sell at 1.2975
Target: 1.2860
Stop: 1.3010

As the single currency has rebounded again after finding support around 1.2904, suggesting near term upside risk remains for the strong rebound from 1.2821 to extend marginal gain, however, as broad outlook is still consolidative, reckon upside would be limited to 1.2972-75 (50% projection of 1.2821-1.2957 measuring from 1.2904) and bring retreat later. A break of 1.2904 support would bring test of the Kijun-Sen (now at 1.2889) but break of the lower Kumo (now at 1.2877) is needed to signal top is formed, bring weakness to 1.2850-55, then towards said support at 1.2821. Looking ahead, only break of this support would retain bearishness and bring resumption of decline for a retest of 1.2796 recent low.

In view of this, we are still looking to sell euro on further recovery. Only break of 1.2998-1.3000 would shift risk back to the upside for a stronger correction of recent decline to previous resistance at 1.3030 and possibly towards 1.3050.

USDCHF


Sell at 0.9760
Target: 0.9650
Stop: 0.9795

Dollar's recovery after yesterday's selloff to 0.9634 suggests minor consolidation would be seen and above 0.9715-20 would bring another bounce to 0.9737 (50% Fibonacci retracement of 0.9839-0.9634, however, as top has been formed at 0.9839, upside should be limited to 0.9761 (previous resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) and bring another decline, a break of said support would extend the fall from 0.9839 for correction of recent upmove to 0.9620-25 and later towards 0.9600 but reckon previous support at 0.9578 would hold from here, bring another rally later.

In view of this, we are looking to sell dollar on recovery as 0.9750-60 should limit upside. Above 0.9800-05 would risk another test of this week's high of 0.9839 but break there is needed to confirm recent upmove has resumed and extend gain to 0.9875-80, however, reckon 0.9900 would hold from here.

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FOREX SIGNALS FOR MONDAY 21-01-2013

Daily Analysis - 21.01.2013

Happy Monday to all and may this week provide great trading opportunities.

Morgan Stanley Bank has a limit order to buy USD/JPY at 86.50 with a Target of 95.00 and stop loss at 83.00 -  Sure, this price is a bit far away, but worth keeping in mind and maybe setting a limit order just in case .

GBPUSD Sell orders now remain in place from 1.5880 up to 1.5910 with some possible buy stops above.  Buy orders/technical support now lie down at 1.5825/40 with talk of sell stops down through 1.5820. Personally we will look to sell at the 1.5910 region with SL 1.5938 and TP 1.5850

AUDUSD we are still in a trade from Friday, Long at 1.0500 SL 1.0450 and TP 1.0620. If the pair will close a 1 hour candle beneath 1.048/0 we will terminate the trade.

EURUSD Buy orders clustered at 1.3300/05 and more down around 1.3280.  Sell orders clustered at 1.3240/60, with buy stops above there before more sell orders at 1.3395/05. Buy stops gathering up on a break above 1.3405.

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